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DTSTAMP:20250312T205338Z
DESCRIPTION:Iain Pardoe\, PhD\n\nOpen Learning Faculty Member\n	Thompson Riv
 ers University\n\nOscar Competition - Winter 2025\n\nPredicting the 97th A
 cademy Awards -\n	Results from the Field\n	\n	WHEN: Wednesday\, March 19\, 20
 25\, from 3:30 to 4:30 p.m.\n	WHERE: Hybrid | 2001 9IÖÆ×÷³§Ãâ·Ñ College Avenue\, 
 Room 1140\; Zoom\n	NOTE: Iain Pardoe will be presenting from Nelson\n\nAbst
 ract\n\nEvery year since 1929\, the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sci
 ences has recognized outstanding achievement in film with their prestigiou
 s Academy Award\, or Oscar. Before the winners in various categories are a
 nnounced\, there is intense media and public interest in predicting who wi
 ll come away from the awards ceremony with an Oscar statuette. There are n
 o end of theories about which nominees are most likely to win\, yet despit
 e this there continue to be major surprises when the winners are announced
 . This research frames the question of predicting the four major awards - 
 picture\, director\, actor in a leading role\, actress in a leading role -
  as a discrete choice problem. It is then possible to predict the winners 
 in these four categories with a reasonable degree of success. The analysis
  also reveals which past results might be considered truly surprising - no
 minees with low estimated probability of winning who have overcome nominee
 s who were strongly favoured to win. Further details are at https://iainpa
 rdoe.com/oscars/.\n\nSpeaker Bio\n\nDr. Iain Pardoe lives in Nelson\, Brit
 ish Columbia\, where he teaches and writes online post-secondary statistic
 s and mathematics courses at Thompson Rivers University. He previously tau
 ght at Pennsylvania State University and he was formerly an Associate Prof
 essor of Decision Sciences at the University of Oregon. He obtained his Ph
 D in Statistics at the University of Minnesota. For more information\, ple
 ase visit his personal website: https://iainpardoe.com/.\n
DTSTART:20250319T193000Z
DTEND:20250319T203000Z
SUMMARY:Predicting Academy Award Winners Using Discrete Choice Modeling & O
 scar Competition - Winter 2025
URL:/spgh/channels/event/predicting-academy-award-winn
 ers-using-discrete-choice-modeling-oscar-competition-winter-2025-363759
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